PwC: Advertising overtakes consumer spending in 2026 as OTT ads grow 9.4% annually
PwC forecast projects global E&M revenues to reach $4.2T by 2030, with AI-powered ads eclipsing consumer spending in 2026. Advertising is the fastest-growing segment at 5.6% CAGR, while OTT revenue shows 6.1% CAGR despite subscription fatigue, driving consolidation and ad-tier expansion, with OTT ad revenue projected to grow at 9.4% CAGR.
Key Takeaways
- Global ad spend surpassed $1 trillion for the first time in 2025, projected to reach $1.4T by 2030 at 5.6% CAGR.
- OTT ad revenue currently at 19.4% of segment revenues, projected to grow at 9.4% CAGR to reach 22.6% by 2030.
- Internet advertising reached $755.6 billion in 2025 after 12.2% YoY growth, projected at 7.2% CAGR through 2030.
- Global box office projected at $39.5 billion by 2030 (3.5% CAGR), with Asia-Pacific leading regional growth at 4.3% CAGR.
- Online betting and gambling revenues expected to double by 2030, becoming a larger segment than cinema.
Why It Matters
The crossover of advertising past consumer spending in 2026 means ad monetization is now the primary growth lever for E&M companies, not direct consumer payments. For streaming specifically, the 9.4% CAGR for OTT ads — the fastest-growing sub-segment cited — confirms that ad-tier expansion is structural rather than transitional, and that subscription fatigue is pushing platforms toward hybrid models faster than expected. Watch whether OTT platforms hit 20% ad revenue share before 2028, which would signal acceleration beyond PwC's baseline trajectory.
Additional Context
PwC's OTT ad projection aligns with platform-level data showing rapid ad-tier monetization. Netflix's advertising revenue more than doubled in 2025 to over $1.5 billion, and the company expects to nearly double again to roughly $3 billion in 2026, per AdExchanger (January 2026). Ampere Analysis reported that global streaming subscription revenue reached $157.1 billion in 2025, with ad-supported tiers accounting for 28% of subscription revenue — up from less than 5% in 2020 (Broadband TV News, March 2026). At the platform level, eMarketer (March 2026) found Hulu leading US streaming ad revenue at $4.69 billion in 2025, followed by Amazon Prime Video at $3.04 billion in its first year of tracked data. Peacock and HBO Max each grew ad revenue 21% year-over-year, while Netflix's ad revenues grew 26% to $1.17 billion. Sub OTT ad revenues in the US are set to surpass $15 billion in 2026. Nielsen's Ad Supported Gauge showed streaming captured a record 46.6% share of ad-supported TV viewing in Q1 2026, driven by the Super Bowl, Olympics on Peacock, and Amazon NFL playoff games (TV Technology, 2026). WPP Media's December 2025 forecast projected total global ad revenue growth of 8.8% in 2025 to $1.14 trillion, with 7.1% growth expected in 2026 (Marketing Brew, December 2025). The report projected streaming would make up 29.6% of total TV revenue in 2026, up from 26.2% in 2025. Consolidation activity has also accelerated: Fox announced plans to acquire Roku for $22 billion (CSI Magazine, 2026), and Publicis agreed to acquire LiveRamp for $2.2 billion in May 2026 to strengthen its data and agentic media buying capabilities, per PwC's report.
Read full article at moonshot.news
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