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← Regulatory & Policy
PolicyIndustry Trend

GSMA says NTN could reach 37% still offline

GSMA says NTN could reach 37% still offline
Networks

The GSMA has published a white paper analyzing Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTNs), highlighting their role in bridging the connectivity gap for the 37% of the global population that is offline despite being under network coverage. The report details the rapid evolution of direct-to-device (D2D) connectivity, technical advancements such as 3GPP Release 19, and identifies spectrum coordination and partnerships between mobile and satellite operators as critical hurdles. NTNs are positioned as a complement to terrestrial networks for sectors including telecom, IoT, and emergency response.

Key Takeaways

  • GSMA says 37% of the global population remains offline despite being under network coverage.
  • The paper frames NTNs as a complement to terrestrial mobile infrastructure, not a replacement.
  • Direct-to-device NTN is developing along three tracks: 3GPP-compliant NTN, proprietary systems using MSS spectrum, and proprietary systems using unmodified 3GPP phones.
  • The paper flags spectrum coordination, coexistence management, and regulatory approvals as major deployment hurdles, especially where MSS and IMT bands overlap.
  • 3GPP Release 19 adds regenerative payloads and Ku-band support, which GSMA says can improve latency, performance, and service resiliency.

Why It Matters

GSMA is making the case that NTNs are moving from niche coverage tools to a broader part of the connectivity stack, especially for remote and underserved regions. The immediate issue is not just coverage, but how D2D services will work across satellite and terrestrial networks without running into spectrum and regulatory friction. That puts MNO–SNO partnerships, interoperability, and device support at the center of deployment. For streaming and other data-heavy services, the near-term signal to watch is whether NTN standards, including 3GPP Release 19 features and Ku-band support, translate into more practical multi-network service models.


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