EU-Africa digital cooperation targets $72 billion transformation market by 2031
The European Union Institute for Security Studies has published a report outlining a framework for EU-Africa digital cooperation, focusing on infrastructure, data governance, and cybersecurity. The initiative aims to support Africa's digital transformation market, projected to reach $72.23 billion by 2031, while providing alternatives to existing US and Chinese technology providers.
Key Takeaways
- Africa's digital transformation market is expected to grow from $30.24 billion in 2025 to $72.23 billion by 2031.
- Chinese vendors Transsion, Huawei, and Xiaomi controlled 38% of the African mobile market in 2024, while US operating systems held a 94% share.
- The Medusa submarine cable and Blue Raman project are key infrastructure pillars for strengthening trusted connectivity between the two continents.
- Ghana and Kenya are serving as primary regional anchors for cyber resilience and economic infrastructure models respectively.
Why It Matters
The push for EU-Africa digital cooperation represents a strategic attempt to diversify Africa's technology stack away from existing US and Chinese dependencies. By investing in local data centers and 'AI factories,' the EU aims to support African digital sovereignty while securing a foothold in a market where internet usage grew 37% over five years. For the streaming ecosystem, this infrastructure expansion is the prerequisite for scaling SVOD and AVOD services beyond current mobile-led constraints. Success depends on whether these EU-backed projects can remain affordable and interoperable compared to established Chinese hardware. Watch for the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area to see if harmonized data regulations actually trigger a surge in cross-border digital services.
Additional Context
The infrastructure layer underpinning EU-Africa digital cooperation is already crowded with competing investments. Huawei has been the dominant hardware supplier for African telecom networks for over a decade, and the company's partnership with MTN and Vodacom on 5G deployments across South Africa and Nigeria has given it deep relationships with the continent's largest mobile operators. Orange, which operates across 18 African countries, has taken a different approach by announcing a €1 billion investment program for fiber and data center expansion across West and Central Africa through 2027, signaling that European operators see the continent as a growth frontier even without EU institutional backing. The Medusa submarine cable, which connects Southern Europe to North Africa, represents one of the physical links the EU framework depends on for latency-sensitive applications including video streaming.
On the regulatory and business side, the African Continental Free Trade Area's digital trade protocol remains the critical enabler for cross-border services. The AfCFTA Secretariat published its draft Digital Trade Protocol in March 2025, which aims to harmonize data localization rules across 54 member states, though ratification timelines remain uncertain. Meanwhile, Airtel Africa has been aggressively expanding its mobile money platform across 14 markets, creating a payments rail that streaming platforms could use to reduce friction in subscription billing. The EU's Global Gateway initiative, which underpins the cooperation framework, has committed €150 billion in investment pledges for Africa since 2022, but a 2025 European Court of Auditors report found that only 12% of pledged funds had been disbursed, raising questions about execution speed relative to Chinese state-backed financing through the Belt and Road Initiative.
Technical benchmarks for streaming infrastructure in Africa remain constrained by network capacity. GSMA's Mobile Economy Sub-Saharan Africa 2025 report found that average mobile download speeds across the region reached 25 Mbps, sufficient for 720p streaming but below the 50 Mbps threshold needed for reliable 4K delivery. Transsion, the Chinese handset maker that dominates African smartphone sales through its Tecno and Infinix brands, has been pre-installing local streaming apps on devices sold across East and West Africa, effectively controlling the discovery layer for video services. Samsung and Apple hold premium segments but collectively account for less than 20% of smartphone shipments on the continent, meaning any streaming infrastructure strategy must account for a device ecosystem largely shaped by Chinese manufacturers.
Read full article at iss.europa.eu
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